Newsletter
No. 71
September 2, 2005
The following article appeared
in the Mainichi Shinbun at the end of July. It is a Japanese
view of Koizumi diplomatic policies during the "War on Terrorism."
JAPAN’S DIPLOMACY SINCE SEPTEMBER 11: THE HEAVY
PRICE OF US-JAPAN PROXIMITY
By Makoto Iokibe
Kobe University
In this hot summer, we began to feel a presentiment
of political convulsion over postal privatization. The political
opponents and mass media are fairly motivated to oppose or question
the bill, although they have been unable to compare with the Koizumi
regime. In the view of national interest, however, postal privatization
has to be done. We should get rid of the defective political structure
in which the nation controls everything. The government must leave
business to private enterprise when possible, and elaborate the
system and framework for smooth management. Only businesses that
cannot be run by private enterprises should be left to the government.
This is a principle of the delegation of authority.
Of course, we need to consider whether the privatization
project that is now suggested is valid or not. However, there's
nothing perfect on the earth. If something wrong with the project
turns up, then we can correct it. We'll probably put the project
into action anyway.
What things "cannot be left to private enterprise"?
I will mention something from the past and explain it. When the
Roman Army controlled Judah, and had Herod rule the region indirectly,
Rome had power over only three fields: They were security, diplomacy,
and currency. Today, currency can be replaced by an economic redistribution
system. In short, diplomatic relations and the domestic infrastructure
can only be left to government.
In this article, I'd like to focus on diplomatic
relations. How has Japan's diplomacy been in the global turbulence
since 9-11?
The scene of the Twin Towers collapsing was more
shocking than any fictional drama. It seems to have made a great
impact on Americans, as well as those who favor anti-Americanism.
Unfortunately, it has become a major theme of the 21st century.
Rebuilding order is not an easy job for the world facing dissolution.
There are two scenarios that have to be avoided: One is to refuse
to fight against this awful terrorism and to ignore atrocities.
The second is to damage the world order by focusing too much on
countermeasures.
America, which is led by President Bush, is very
motivated to struggle against terrorism. The reality that the
world depends on America seems that it will be an enduring theme
of the 21st century. That the US boosted its morale against terror
was fortunate for world peace. Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi
visited America two weeks after 9-11, and said "We, together
with America, will fight against terror." His words lifted
Japan's international position more than 13 billion dollars of
financial aid in the time of the Gulf War. When the Afghan War
broke out, the Koizumi administration enacted an "anti-terror
law" and supported the war. When the battle was over, it
played an important role in the reconstruction of Afghanistan.
It should be appreciated that Japan joined the war against Afghanistan
under the reign of the Taliban, which was considered to be a sanctuary
of terrorism, and got involved in the reconstruction of the nation.
If America had been satisfied with the winning
of the Afghan War, and then halted its military actions and moved
to rebuild the world order diplomatically, global terrorism would
have been in trouble. They wouldn't have had a sanctuary of terrorism,
and countries that would hide terrorists. Luckily for them, however,
the US engaged in an excessive counterattack and made a big mistake.
They started the Iraq War and overthrew the Saddam regime. This
gave global terrorists places in Iraq where they can act freely.
The Bush administration, in which there is too much fighting spirit
and not enough clear ideas and wisdom, "played into the hands"
of the terrorists.
The Koizumi administration advised President Bush
to construct an agreement with the United Nations. However, he
clearly favored America's action, even when the US began the Iraq
War without the permission of the UN. Later, he enacted the "anti-war
law" and dispatched the SDF to Iraq, where there was guerrilla
fighting. It was a hard decision.
Ahh! But how it made Japan-US relations intimate
and close! The improvement of Japan-US relations is an important
national interest, because we can't deal with North Korea and
the Taiwan Channel on our own. However, the Iraq War itself was
a mistake, and Japan having joined the war, will also pay a heavy
price. The price is mainly the risk that the dispatched SDF, or
the other Japanese in Iraq, might be attacked. Britain was attacked
even though they were extremely alert about terrorism. It is silly
to think that terrorists won’t target Japan simply because
Arab people easily stand out in this country. We must not make
light of global terrorist organizations. There are collaborators
among Asians and even Japanese.
I remind you that they took a long time to prepare
for the attacks. It probably goes without saying that Japan will
be the next target; however, they might spend half a year preparing.
If the new Iraqi government is established this year, and Japan
could withdraw the SDF from Iraq without damaging relations with
America, there’s a possibility that Japan can escape from
a terrorist attack or the tragedy of the SDF. Japan would have
to be amazingly lucky.
Japan has failed in Asian diplomacy and couldn't
be a permanent member of the Security Council. Japan-China relations
have deteriorated because of two national leaders. First, the
ex-Premier of the People's Republic of China, Jiang Zemin, repeated
a speech that condemns the past Japanese invasion and aroused
anti-China feeling in Japan. Next, Prime Minister Koizumi visited
Yasukuni Shrine four times, and made it impossible for the Chinese
government to move toward better relations with Japan. Diplomatically,
Japan is trying to prevent Europe from exporting weapons to China,
and China is trying to prevent Japan from becoming a permanent
member of the Security Council. These trends are both unfavorable
to the growth of each nation. I hope the next administration will
change these gloomy Asian relations.
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