Newsletter
No. 230
April 6, 2006
Sometime
in March, it appears that Senior Vice-Minister for Foreign Affairs
Yasuhisa Shiozaki paid an unheralded visit to Sudan. This led
to a US$76 million Japanese grant to UNICEF to be used in fifteen
countries, including Sudan. Shiozaki made a short comment in
Khartoum:
“The
trip to Sudan gave me a deep impression that UNICEF’s
support to communities and families is an extremely important
part of the ’peace consolidation’ process. It was
encouraging to see various agencies and civil society working
together for the same cause.”
This small story is just about the only report on Japan-Sudan
relations that has appeared so far this year. This is a little
surprising because last year there was some attention devoted
to Japan’s participation in the UN Mission in Sudan (UNMIS).
Shingetsu Newsletter Nos. 14, 48, 69, and 86 covered some aspects
of this story. Lately, however, very little new information
has appeared.
Below
is a translation of an article that appeared in the December
2005 issue of Gaiko Forum. Although the analysis in
the article is a little more shallow than I would prefer, it
is, nevertheless, the only extended treatment of Japan’s
recent role in Sudan that I have yet come across. If more news
on this story should appear in the coming months, it may prove
to be a useful text for consultation.
This
English translation is provided by the Shingetsu Institute.
PEACE-BUILDING
AND THE ROLE OF JAPAN IN SUDAN
By Toshiya Hoshino
“We are Desperately Hungry for an Intervention by the
International Community”
“Welcome
to ‘Reborn Sudan’”
The
commanders of the Sudan Peoples’ Liberation Military/Army
(SPLM/A) welcomed our visit again and again by repeating that
phrase in Jubbah. It was mid-July 2004 when we entered there
for research about the role of PKO in Africa and the advancement
of a firm peace there.
Jubbah
is the place from which the Sudanese government ruled during
the conflict, though it is located in the south. But now, the
former government has opened their offices in this place. There
is a mighty tree there in front of the main office. And there
is a comfortable meeting area with simple chairs arranged around
the tree.
The
leader -- judged by his seat with the eldest coming first --
said “I myself have fought two wars. Now that peace has
come, the young may prosper in these times.” His face
was sedate.
However,
the desolation of the land is obvious due to the long civil
war. A young leader who will forge the future insisted, “We
have now welcomed a new step and are determined to tackle the
new challenges. But there is nothing in this land. We are desperately
hungry for an intervention by the international community.”
A Nation Whose History Has Been Filled with Conflict
On
January 9th, 2005, the northern Sudanese government and the
SPLM/A entered into a comprehensive peace agreement. An interim
constitution was established in July. A national unity government
was also established. It was the long-awaited end of a war in
this country (which has the largest land area in Africa) and
had continued longer and perhaps had largest number of casualties
of any other war on the continent.
It
was 1956 when Sudan attained independence from Britain and Egypt.
Generally, it is said that the war began because the northern
government tried to impose Islamic law in 1983, and this led
to conflict. In fact, the confrontation between north and south
was already widespread since the British period, and there was
already a substantial civil conflict in 1955. From that viewpoint,
we can see that this country’s history was almost entirely
one of conflict, except for 11 years from 1972 to 1983. All
of this from a country which has both the White Nile and the
Blue Nile, and is rich enough in resources that it should be
the biggest breadbasket in Africa. But instead, more than two
million people lost their lives, and more than four million
became Internally Displaced Persons (IDP).
Of course, it is not only the north-south peace agreement that
would release this country from conflict. Actually, another
aggravated humanitarian crisis has not been solved that broke
out in 2003 in Darfur, western Sudan. There, somewhere between
180,000 and 300,000 people have been killed, and 1.8 million
people have become IDP, and 200,000 became refugees, due to
a conflict between rebels fighting against the central government
and an Arab militia. What’s worse, the eastern part of
the country, where it has a border with Eritrea, is also unstable.
It will be best if the enactment of the peace deal will begin
to ease the recent troubles in other parts of the country. But
it would all be meaningless if it only results in the Sudanese
government redeploying its forces from the south to the west
and the east.
For
real conflict resolution to occur, various kinds of support
from the international community and a partnership with the
central players is indispensable. Even if the international
community does intervene, it will be necessary to exercise humanitarianism
and strategic thought in order to reach a positive result --
otherwise, the costs even to the international community will
be great.
I
am not sure whether he meant this or not, but U.N. Secretary-General
Annan has said, “If we fail in Sudan, it will occupy our
minds for years.”
Peace
in Sudan could not have been achieved without the intervention
of the international community. Unless we take hold of these
weak beginnings of peace, Sudan will be deserted in the world
and could easily be thrust back into its chaotic past.
In
this text, I would like you to deepen your understanding of
the background of the Sudanese civil war, and consider the role
of Japan and the international community in seeing to its conclusion
the mutual agreement of a comprehensive peace, the dispatch
of UNMIS, and the consultative group in Sudan, through my on-the-spot
investigation.
Terrorism, Oil, and the Commitment of the United States and
China
It
is difficult to intervene appropriately without understanding
the reasons for the war. Even if Sudan is geographically far
away from us, and it doesn't have strong historical ties with
us, it still applies to us. Frankly speaking, the psychological
“distance” with which we hold about Africa is quite
far. However, we have to recognize that today’s rapid
globalization has advanced in the face of our psychological
distance. The greatest irony about Africa is that while having
miserable disputes, extreme poverty, infectious diseases, and
an expansion of environmental destruction, they also have a
dynamic nature, are rich in oil, minerals (including precious
metals), and precious stones; and they have the people and the
market to expand those resources.
In
a sense, colonialism harvested this “richness” in
Africa. People in Africa were deprived of “happiness”
by the East-West Cold War that followed decolonization in the
20th century. Although the U.S.-Soviet proxy wars ended at the
conclusion of the Cold War, there was a paradoxical increase
of the intensity of confrontations in some cases, and some governments
simply failed to function. This confusion profits only the terrorists.
The reason that the Africa problem accounts for 60 percent of
the agenda of U.N. Security Council, and the dispatch of many
United Nations PKOs, is that regaining stability in this continent
is now in the common interest of the world.
As
for the composition of the Sudanese Civil War, it is often said
that it is a fight between Arab people -- who are usually Muslim
-- in the northern part of the country, and Christians in the
southern part -- or African people who believe in the traditional
religions. However, Professor Hideyo Kurimoto, who has been
researching many years from the viewpoint of the human literature,
points out that it is wrong to understand the civil war as a
conflict of religion and race. And it is also wrong to believe
that the aim of the SPLM/A is the independence of the south.
The subject of the civil war is the anti-government position
of the SPLM/A, and the Sudanese government would fight them
even if they were Arab and Muslim. Indeed, it is said that there
are Arab and Muslim people among the SPLM/A.
According
to Professor Kurimoto, the real reason for this civil war is
that the political and economic system of Sudan is unequal,
and people are marginalized, except for the ruling hierarchy.
The aim of SPLM/A is to repair this structure, and to establish
a new Sudan by freeing the marginalized people. If this is really
true, we can easily imagine that there are two meanings of the
term “Reborn Sudan.” The first meaning is a Sudan
which is born as the result of the establishment of peace; and
second is this aim of the rebels. Matching these two things
will be a key to maintain the peace.
In
any case, in the long run, the factors which might lead to peace
in the Sudanese Civil War are not only the domestic ones, but
also the external ones. Two events have had an extraordinary
impact. The first was the 9.11 attacks in the United States.
The second was the actual production of oil from Sudanese fields.
The most important roles were played by the United States and
China.
Generally,
the United States’ policy about Sudan was extremely severe.
This was because both Left and Right took a strong stance toward
Human Rights and the suppression of southern Christians by the
Sudanese government. With the coming of the terrorist attacks,
the U.S. government put this nation on its list of terrorist-supporting
states. In 1997, America had imposed economic sanctions on Sudan
because of their relationships with terrorist organizations,
and the problem of Human Rights. In fact, from early 1990s to
1996, Usama bin Ladin, the leader of the al-Qaida terrorist
network, lived there, and even now, there is a mosque funded
by Bin Ladin in the capital city, Khartoum. It is a well-known
fact that the Clinton Administration launched a missile attack
against facilities related to Al-Qaida in Afghanistan and Sudan
in 1998, when an embassy was struck by terrorism. (Actually,
however, the facility that was destroyed was a pharmaceutical
factory, so the Sudanese government requested an apology from
the U.S.)
After
9.11, the Sudanese government declared its willingness to cooperate
with the U.S. government and the international community for
the elimination of terrorism, but the U.S. government did not
removed Sudan from the list even then. Rather, elimination from
the list was a key point in the peace negotiations that began
from 2002. Concretely, Secretary of State Powell and United
Nations Ambassador Danforth appealed for peace in cooperation
with the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD).
These two later joined in the signing ceremony for the peace
accord held in Nairobi in January 2005.
When
the Bush Administration entered its second term, Mr. Zoellick
assumed the position of Deputy Secretary of State, and has already
visited three times to observe the implementation of the Peace
Agreement. At a conference in April, the United States donated
the single-largest amount of US$1.9 billion. The U.S. also approved
the national unity government as soon as it was established.
And this October, they reestablished their embassy. It is clear
that the United States is paying attention to the Darfur situation.
Not only Deputy Secretary of State Zoellick, but also Secretary
of State Rice visited there and she demanded the improvement
of the country’s relations with surrounding nations (especially
Eritrea) and the stabilization of the whole of Sudan. These
actions are evidence that the U.S. considers Sudan to be important.
The
other country which shows a positive advance in Sudan is China.
The goals of China are more direct: they aim at energy and mineral
resources. Actually, China is the biggest customer of their
oil production, and it brings much profit to southern Darfur.
Sudan is also strengthening ties with China in its capacity
as a representative of non-Western nations in the U.N. Security
Council. Moreover, the number of Chinese participating in PKO
has rapidly increased. It now stands at about 800, but it used
to be less than 100.
Japan’s Role
What
role should Japan take while those countries are taking action?
Before examining Japan’s role concretely, I would like
to take one more look at the Sudanese peace process (especially
the north-south issue).
The
peace between the Sudanese government in north and the rebel
forces in the south (SPLM/A) has just been agreed. So, in order
not to follow a statistic that says, “half of all conflicts
have a relapse within five years,” the international community
needs to be united, and make a firm basis for peace. For that
to happen, there are three tools that international society
has prepared. The first one is, of course, the North-South Inclusive
Peace Agreement itself. The second is the PKO called UNMIS.
And the last is the money promised to Sudan by a donor meeting
in Norway. These three tools will change the situation of Sudan
in the future.
In
regard to the North-South Inclusive Peace Agreement, this “inclusiveness”
is to found in the agreement to a permanent ceasefire, having
a six-year phrase-in period, establishing a national unity government
within those six years, arranging the creation of a new army,
sharing power and wealth, and the general construction of “Reborn
Sudan.” Six years from now, in 2011, a referendum will
be held in the southern part of the country which will decide
whether they remain inside a united Sudan or become independent.
UNMIS
was the set up based on U.N. Security Council Resolution 1590.
It consists of approximately 10,000 military observers and an
appropriate number of civilians (including civilian police officers).
Their mission is to implement support for the Inclusive Peace
Agreement, promote the voluntary return of refugees and internally
displaced persons, carry out mine-clearing operations, give
technical advice, insure the human rights of repatriated refugees,
and generally to protect the weak.
It
was rainy season in July that our investigation group visited
there. The PKO in the south was advancing their work in providing
military inspections, as well as other activities regarding
transportation, constructing new facilities, mine-clearing,
and medical treatment. The training of civilian police had already
begun. As we can see from this, the PKO is carrying out activities
aimed at mid- to long-term goals relating to “peace-building,”
although it is generally understood to be only for “peacekeeping.”
The
Sudan donors’ meeting was held by more than sixty countries
and regional organizations from April 11-12, 2005. It was the
first conference at which both central players joined as a united
team, named “JNTT.” US$45 million in total was pledged
to support the process for three years. This amount actually
exceeded the US$41 million that U.N. General Secretary Annan
had requested, and it showed how much attention the international
community was paying to Sudan.
Japan
should be evaluated highly in regard to those three tools. First,
Japan has twice engaged in dialogue on Human Rights with the
Sudanese government. This should be well noted, because as in
the case of the Cambodian peace, it is important to take initiative
in peace processes to build relationships of trust. Afterwards,
Japan can play a helpful role in reconstruction support and
peace building. From a political point of view, it is an important
fact that Japan has positively joined the discussion about Sudan
as a non-permanent member of the U.N. Security Council.
Second,
Japan decided to freely provide four-wheel drive vehicles, land-mine
detection equipment, and large-scale tents to UNMIS in July.
On October 19th, the ceremony for the delivery of these goods
was held in Mombasa, Kenya. They were provided for African troops
that have joined in UNMIS. It was the first time, based on Japan’s
International Peacekeeping Law, to give goods to directly to
a PKO. And what’s more, at the head office in Khartoum,
a MOFA officer was placed in charge of analysis. He has worked
there since October.
Third,
for financial support, Japan has donated US$100 million in ODA
for mine-clearing, food aid, support for returning refugees,
and so on. Financial aid to Sudan, where there are Human Rights
problems in addition to the civil war, was attended with many
difficulties. Nevertheless, Japan has continued its support
by limiting it to emergency and humanitarian situations, as
has been the case since 1992. After the provision of financial
aid, Japan will use those systems to give support through NGOs
and international organizations. Such patient efforts are very
important in building relationships of trust with partner countries.
The
discussion in the conference was about the needs for the next
three years. Of course, Japan can be considered as a country
which has responded to the financial requests, and it will be
also be important to consider how Japan might give financial
support during the six-year phrase-in period in order to provide
timely support for peace and stability.
Support to Regain “Happiness”
Among
the points of debate about the Japanese contribution, the issue
of an SDF dispatch is important. Actually, the possibility of
joining in Sudan’s PKO was reported several times during
the past ten months. The points of contention for those who
have a negative view regard mainly the specific duties, the
nature of troops’ activities (their main responsibilities
and the question of weapons), their ability to do what is necessary
(can they respond to the external and domestic situation and
requests for some kind of action?), and the stability of the
dispatch region itself (for example, what about the south?).
There is no space to argue about details of the legal issues
here, but these points are certainly not new. They have been
debated in various forms about every SDF dispatch for ten years
and more. Isn’t it time to prepare the way for a “general
law” to govern these kinds of matters?
In
addition to that kind of discussion, we cannot ignore considering
how we should tackle the present problem of “Sudan”
in detail. As I wrote earlier, more than 60% of the problems
that are discussed in the U.N. Security Council relate to African
issues, and it is directly connected to how we see PKO dispatches
that we consider Africa. In other words, even now there is no
question whether the highest priority is Asia or Africa, as
this has already been resolved.
In
fact, it cannot be denied that we have a psychological distance
in addition to physical distance from Africa’s conflicts
because its political culture and norms of society are quite
different. And it is true that we sometimes become confused
when we see people acting prideful even though they cannot make
a living without aid. However, the Self-Defense Force personnel’s
efforts should be reevaluated once more as was done twelve years
ago. SDF officers achieved their mission in Mozambique though
communication technology was not yet so advanced, and support
systems were not established well enough. From now, we will
need to consider the improvement of support systems and the
scale of troop dispatches or workers to command centers.
As
globalization advances rapidly, the problems of terrorist attacks
and weapons of mass destruction have accelerated and spread.
We are living in the world where we cannot deny the connection
of Africa’s issues to terrorist attacks. Of course, it
means that economic benefits must be spread and diplomatic infrastructures
strengthened; but also it has the strategic meaning of a guarantee
of security from developed countries, including Japan. At the
same time, to support Africans who have been deprived of their
“happiness,” a simple but often ignored matter would
be to shorten our “distance” from them, I believe.
This
is what the author felt during the short time that I came into
contact with the people there, and it brought me close to the
answer of the question: “Why is support for peace building
needed?”