Newsletter No. 1388
News-Analysis
June 22, 2009
FOREIGN MINISTER NAKASONE
SPEAKS AT LAST
This morning the Japanese
government finally issued a reaction to everything that has
occurred in Iran in the past ten days. Foreign Minister Hirofumi
Nakasone’s statement is very spare, and so far it has
been issued only in Japanese language. Here is my translation
of the full text:
1. In regard to our country’s position on the results
of the presidential elections in the Islamic Republic of Iran,
we believe that the government and people of Iran should exercise
wisdom and cooperate to bring about a peaceful solution to
the dispute.
2. In this context, we
deeply regret the injuries and deaths that have occurred during
the protests. We strongly demand that a peaceful solution
be found and that the occurrence of such casualties be avoided.
3. Also, our country takes
great interest in the Iranian system and the manner in which
it is managed. In that respect, various opinions and debates
should be appropriately respected.
Well, this may not be the speech of the century, but it is
better than the silence that preceded it. At least Japan is
now on record calling for peace.
On the other hand, this still
pretty darn weak and deferential to the Khamenei dictatorship,
is it not? There is no clear demand for the Iranian government
hold free elections. There is no condemnation of security
forces shooting down unarmed protestors, such as the now-famous
slaughter of the young woman, Neda Agha Soltan. In short,
Nakasone is calling for peace, but not for justice and democracy.
Analysis
The position that the Japanese
government has taken is, in my view, outrageous, but we still
must struggle to explain it.
We have seen Tokyo fall silent
like this before. For example, there was the case during the
2006 Israeli attack throughout Lebanon in which Tokyo couldn’t
even bring itself to call for a ceasefire. However, back then
we could safely assume that the Bush administration was twisting
the Koizumi administration’s arm and demanding that
they keep quiet, as part of the US efforts to “hold
the ring” and allow the Israeli army to do its business.
What has happened this week
is clearly something different. President Obama himself spoke
eloquently about the need for justice in Iran, so it is obvious
that the decision to remain silent is coming from Tokyo, not
Washington.
The Japanese government is
concerned not to alienate the established government in Iran.
That much is clear. But why is Tokyo being deferential to
Tehran to this extreme degree? That point is much less clear.
After all, in the past several years Tokyo has pulled out
of the Azadegan oil partnership and taken an unreasonably
tough line on the nuclear issue. In those cases, Tokyo didn’t
seem to mind aggravating the sentiment of the Iranian government.
So why are they being so sensitive now?
While pondering this question,
I had terrible thought that I hope is not true. Could Japan’s
posture be closely related to the candidacy of Yukiya Amano
to head the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)? At
latest word, Amano is once again the frontrunner for the post,
but still needs to win over some developing countries which
are afraid that he will represent only the Western priority
of taking a hard line against alleged nuclear proliferators.
The next election round is set for July 2nd.
Is it possible that Tokyo
is tip-toeing around the current crisis in Iran in order to
raise the chances of their man becoming director-general of
the IAEA, a very prestigious position for a Japanese diplomat
to occupy? I’d hate to believe that the Japanese government
is quite that self-interested and indifferent to
the suffering of others, but judging by the record of Japanese
governments in recent years, I cannot exactly rule it out
either.
Can anyone think of other
possible explanations?
Protests at Iranian Embassy
The Japan Times reported
that about two hundred people attended a rally on the 20th
near the Iranian Embassy in Tokyo. The gathering consisted
mostly of Iranian residents of Japan, including a group of
Iranian university students, researchers, business owners,
and company workers. The protestors shouted, “Ahmadinejad,
you are a bunch of dust, you’re nothing, you’re
not Iranian.” One of the protestors explained, “We
want freedom, we want democracy in my country.”
The protesters wanted to stage
a rally in front of the embassy, but were told by Japanese
police that they could only march from a nearby bridge to
the embassy in groups of five. Many of the protesters were
wearing masks and sunglasses to prevent authorities from identifying
them.
STORIES FROM THE PREVIOUS ERA
One way or another, Iran will
not be the same country after the events of the past ten days,
but we must still report some stories on Japan-Iran relations
that occurred in the previous era, before the latest crisis.
Mohammad Nahavandian, chairman of Iran’s
Chamber of Commerce, Industries and Mines, was in Tokyo in
late May. During a meeting in Tokyo with House of Councillors
member Kotaro Tamura, who is a strong supporter of Iran-Japan
economic ties, Nahavandian stated that Japanese companies
could invest in establishing banks in Iran, marine transport,
as well as in the oil sector. Tamura said that Iran is a powerful
country in Asia and expressed hope that Japan would strengthen
its cordial ties with Tehran. As of that time, he was planning
to travel to Iran to review the trade opportunities in the
Islamic Republic. Tamura, of the LDP, hails from Tottori Prefecture.
We have mentioned his Iran-related activities once before
in Newsletter No. 1140.
While in Japan, Nahavandian also met with Yasuo Hayashi of
the Japan External Trade Organization (JETRO), Iranian businessmen
in Japan, and Professor Mohammad Naqizadeh, an Iranian economist.
Shirin Nezammafi,
the 29-year-old Iranian writer who won the Bungakukai
Shinjinsho, has continued to garner media attention.
In late May, she was quoted as saying, “Wars are normal
in Iran. But I thought it would put a fresh slant on it by
writing about it in Japanese… Writing is very normal
for me. I was blessed to meet friends, teachers, and superiors
in Japan.” In another interview in early May, she described
her reaction to winning the literary award: “I am elated
because I didn’t expect to win it.”
US Government Officials,
it was revealed in mid-May, had asked Tokyo to suspend the
visit of Japanese Foreign Minister Hirofumi Nakasone to Iran,
which occurred at the beginning of May (see Newsletter No.
1354). The reason
that US officials wanted Nakasone’s visit cancelled
was in retaliation for President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s
remarks at a Geneva conference in which he described Israel
as “racist.” Despite the American view, Tokyo
decided to go forward with the visit. They explained, “It
was not a strong request.”
Professor Hashem Rajabzadeh,
currently teaching at Rikkyo University, was presented
an order of merit by the Japanese government in May. Rajabzadeh,
68, holds a PhD in political science from Tehran University,
and has been teaching in Japan for several decades. He is
familiar to many Shingetsu Members as a noted author on the
history of Japan-Iran relations.
MOFA STATEMENT
Foreign Ministers’
Telephone Conversation between Japan and the Islamic Republic
of Iran
May 18, 2009
On May 18 (Monday), 2009 (JST),
Minister for Foreign Affairs Hirofumi Nakasone gave a telephone
call to Minister for Foreign Affairs of the Islamic Republic
of Iran H. E. Mr. Manouchehr Mottaki. It continued for about
20 minutes from 5:50 p.m.
Minister Nakasone began by
expressing his thanks for the kind treatment he received during
his recent visit to the Islamic Republic of Iran from May
2 (Saturday) to 3 (Sunday). He said that he hoped this visit
would lead to the further development of high-level dialogues
between Japan and Iran, and asked Minister Mottaki to convey
his best wishes to President Ahmadinejad. Minister Nakasone
then expressed his happiness that Ms. Roxana Saberi had been
freed, and shared his approval of the Government of Iran’s
appropriate conclusion to this matter.
In response, Minister Mottaki
said that the reexamination of Ms. Saberi’s case took
place at the time of Minister Nakasone’s visit to Iran,
and that he was happy with the judgment passed by the Judiciary.
He then pointed out the importance of putting into practice
Japan and Iran’s agreement, which was entered into when
Minister Nakasone visited Iran, to cooperate in regards to
supporting Afghanistan. He also said that a summit meeting
of the Iranian, Afghan, and Pakistani presidents is scheduled
to be held in Tehran soon.
Minister Nakasone said that
he wanted to steadily proceed in cooperating to support Afghanistan,
and that it was essential to breed constructive cooperative
relationships between nations in the area for regional stability.
He said that Japan greatly appreciated Iran’s efforts
and hoped that the summit of the Iranian, Afghan, and Pakistani
presidents will contribute to regional peace and stability.
In addition, he once again pointed out the necessity for Iran’s
proactive actions regarding Iran-U.S. relations and Iran’s
nuclear issue. As an example, he encouraged Iran to ratify
the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT) and to positively
work for conclusion of the IAEA Additional Protocol.
Minister Mottaki responded
that Iran was fulfilling that responsibility by participating
in a variety of international treaties and frameworks such
as the NPT and IAEA, but that Iran was not being given sufficient
benefits. He said that if other countries respected Iran’s
rights, Iran would be able to take new steps forward.
In conclusion, Minister Nakasone
said that he hoped to maintain close relations in the future
as well, which Minister Mottaki also agreed to.