Newsletter No. 830
News-Analysis
November 30, 2007
The following newsletter has been contributed
by Keely Fahoum (Shingetsu Member No. 112).
Fahoum is based at the Defense Language Institute in Monterey.
IS TOKYO COOLING ON LEBANESE PRIME MINISTER FUAD SINIORA?
Through recent public statements, MOFA has joined
other non-Arab states in expressing its disappointment in the
Lebanese government’s inability to craft a solution to
the recent electoral crisis in their country. The presidential
election has been postponed five times and a feeling of international
unease has only increased after the previous president, Emile
Lahoud, left office on November 24th placing the security of
the country in the hands of the Lebanese Army. Most proponents
of democracy, or at least those non-Arab countries who are watching
Lebanon carefully, are hoping that the country will not slide
back into militia-dominated power struggles reminiscent of the
disastrous Civil War.
One crucial Lebanese figure who has been notably
absent in the current political fray is Prime Minister Fuad
Siniora. Prior to the election hubbub, Siniora was the “darling”
of the international community, standing as a symbol of Lebanese
solidarity in the face of opposition backlash from other political
parties challenging the confessional organization of the government.
Fielding criticism from groups such as Hizballah and its Christian
allies as well as facing down political assassinations from
an unknown perpetrator, Siniora was very public in his determination
to hold the government together, and he was buttressed by several
non-Arab countries, including the US and Japan. Following the
assassination of Antoine Ghanim, the international community
rushed to condemn the action, but absent in their statements
was any mention of Siniora. One may question whether or not
the tide is turning for the Lebanese prime minister and confidence
is lessening in his ability to lead Lebanon to a stable future.
Where has the public support for Siniora gone?
Arabic and English-language media have primarily covered the
scrambling about of the Maronite leadership (meeting with French
government representatives), Hizballah and a few sporadic statements
from the Lebanese Forces. After the departure of Lahoud, Siniora
and his Cabinet assumed powers as head of state. Siniora has
been a bit “mum” on the whole elections fiasco,
however, he has stated in the Lebanese newspaper, The Daily
Star, that he would not take any “provocative”
moves in order to quell the current political crisis.
But this begs the question: Why no public mention
of Siniora in the current press releases by MOFA? Is the Japanese
government cooling in their support for Mr. Siniora? Have they
finally recognized that Siniora does not hold the key to the
future stability of Lebanon?
Immediately after the Lebanese-Israeli conflict
in the summer of 2006, criticism was hurled at the Siniora government
from both inside and outside Lebanon, but Japanese and American
pundits held firm in their belief that Siniora was the pivotal
figure for Lebanese stability. After the recent roller-coaster
of political events, it now comes to light that perhaps the
Sunni prime minister may not hold all the cards of success for
a stable Lebanon. Perhaps the Japanese government now recognizes
the state of the unknown in Lebanon and is waiting for some
indicator from the US on which way to wave the flag. Siniora
has not turned out to be the dynamic and influential figurehead
that the US and Japan hoped he would be. His “hands-off”
approach has not fulfilled the vision which was crafted by these
countries who were then looking for a ‘Man of the Hour’
to control the Lebanese political crisis. The parliament is
scheduled to try once again for an election of the Lebanese
president this Friday and there has been little or no mention
of the prime minister in any public or political press release.
MOFA has taken a more reactive stance to the current crisis
in Lebanon and it seems is waiting for the outcome of the elections
to voice its support one way or another.
JAPANESE FILM FESTIVAL IN BEIRUT
In the cultural sphere, the Japanese Embassy
hosted a Japanese film festival in Beirut last month, showcasing
works from various well-known filmmakers such as Takeshi Kitano,
Takashi Koizumi, Kazuo Karoki and Itsumichi Isomura. It also
featured a film by late director Akira Kurosawa. The festival
was held in a refurbished auditorium of Ain al-Mreisseh’s
YWCA, whose work was funded by the Japanese Cultural Grassroots
Grant Program. The money donated was used to construct a high-quality
sound system and a large screen.
Appendix
Statement by the Press Secretary on
the Current Situation Concerning Election of a New President
in Lebanon
November 25, 2007
The Government of Japan expresses its concern
over the current situation in Lebanon where the election process
of a new president has not been completed by the scheduled deadline.
The Government of Japan calls upon all parties to continue dialogue
to overcome the political impasse, and hopes that political
stability will be restored in Lebanon in a peaceful manner as
soon as possible. The Government of Japan also supports the
initiatives of all the countries concerned toward resolving
the deadlock.
It will be an enormous loss for the future of
Lebanon if the people of Lebanon discontinue their dialogue
and discussions and bring about further political confusion.
The Government of Japan strongly hopes that all parties will
act in the interests of the people of Lebanon.
Statement by Press Secretary on the Terrorist Bombing
Attack in Lebanon
September 20, 2007
The Government of Japan is deeply shocked by
the act of terrorism in Beirut on 19th which killed a number
of innocent people including Mr. Antoine Ghanim, Member of the
Parliament of Lebanon, and expresses its condolences to the
victims and their families. Such an act of terrorism can never
be tolerated and the Government of Japan strongly condemns it.
The Government of Japan,
together with the international community, fully supports the
efforts of the Lebanese Government for the stability of Lebanon
and calls anew upon that all the parties concerned in Lebanon
to overcome their differences through dialogue and negotiations,
and work together to achieve the stability and reconstruction
of Lebanon.